CGD Publications: Calendar Year 2015

Journal Articles

Abe-Ouchi, A., F. Saito, M. Kageyama, P. Braconnot, S. Harrison, K. Lambeck, Bette Otto-Bliesner, W. Peltier, L. Tarasov, J. Peterschmitt, K. Takahashi, 2015: Ice-sheet configuration in the CMIP5/PMIP3 Last Glacial Maximum experiments. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Albani, S., N. Mahowald, G. Winckler, R. Anderson, L. Bradtmiller, B. Delmonte, R. François, M. Goman, N. Heavens, P. Hesse, S. Hovan, S. Kang, K. Kohfeld, H. Lu, V. Maggi, J. Mason, P. Mayewski, D. McGee, X. Miao, Bette Otto-Bliesner, A. Perry, A. Pourmand, H. Roberts, Nan Rosenbloom, T. Stevens, J. Sun, 2015: Twelve thousand years of dust: The Holocene global dust cycle constrained by natural archives. Climate of the Past, OpenSky.

Ali, A., C. Xu, A. Rogers, N. McDowell, B. Medlyn, Rosemary A. Fisher, S. Wullschleger, P. Reich, J. Vrugt, W. Bauerle, L. Santiago, C. Wilson, 2015: Global-scale environmental control of plant photosynthetic capacity. Ecological Applications, OpenSky.

Anderegg, W., J. Hicke, Rosemary A. Fisher, C. Allen, J. Aukema, B. Bentz, S. Hood, J. Lichstein, A. Macalady, N. McDowell, Y. Pan, K. Raffa, A. Sala, J. Shaw, N. Stephenson, C. Tague, M. Zeppel, 2015: Tree mortality from drought, insects, and their interactions in a changing climate. New Phytologist, OpenSky.

Anderson, R., M. Lo, Sean Swenson, J. Famiglietti, Q. Tang, T. Skaggs, Y. Lin, R. Wu, 2015: Using satellite-based estimates of evapotranspiration and groundwater changes to determine anthropogenic water fluxes in land surface models. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Bachman, S., B. Fox-Kemper, Frank O. Bryan, 2015: A tracer-based inversion method for diagnosing eddy-induced diffusivity and advection. Ocean Modelling, OpenSky.

Baker, Allison, Dorit Hammerling, Michael N. Levy, Haiying Xu, John M. Dennis, Brian E. Eaton, James Edwards, Cecile E. Hannay, Sheri Mickelson, Richard Neale, Douglas Nychka, Jay A. Shollenberger, Joseph Tribbia, Mariana Vertenstein, David Williamson, 2015: A new ensemble-based consistency test for the Community Earth System Model (pyCECT v1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Berg, A., B. Lintner, K. Findell, S. Seneviratne, B. van den Hurk, A. Ducharne, F. Chéruy, S. Hagemann, David M. Lawrence, S. Malyshev, A. Meier, P. Gentine, 2015: Interannual coupling between summertime surface temperature and precipitation over land: Processes and implications for climate change. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Bishop, S., Frank O. Bryan, R. Justin Small, 2015: Bjerknes-like compensation in the wintertime North Pacific. Journal of Physical Oceanography, OpenSky.

Boer, G., Gerald A. Meehl, D. Smith, 2015: Toward improving decadal climate predictions. Eos, OpenSky.

Bothe, O., M. Evans, L. Fernandez Denado, E. Garcia Bustamante, J. Gergis, J. GonzalezRouco, H. Goosse, G. Hegerl, A. Hind, J. Jungclaus, D. Kaufman, Flavio Lehner, N. McKay, A. Moberg, C. Raible, A. Schurer, F. Shi, 2015: Continental-scale temperature variability in PMIP3 simulations and PAGES 2k regional temperature reconstructions over the past millennium. Climate of the Past, OpenSky.

Bracco, A., Matthew Long, N. Levine, R. Thomas, C. Deutsch, G. McKinley, 2015: NCAR's Summer Colloquium: Capacity building in cross-disciplinary research of earth system carbon-climate connections. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Bryan, Frank O., S. Bachman, 2015: Isohaline salinity budget of the North Atlantic salinity maximum. Journal of Physical Oceanography, OpenSky.

Burakowski, Elizabeth, S. Ollinger, L. Lepine, C. Schaaf, Z. Wang, J. Dibb, D. Hollinger, J. Kim, A. Erb, M. Martin, 2015: Spatial scaling of reflectance and surface albedo over a mixed-use, temperate forest landscape during snow-covered periods. Remote Sensing of Environment, OpenSky.

Buzan, J., Keith W. Oleson, M. Huber, 2015: Implementation and comparison of a suite of heat stress metrics within the Community Land Model version 4.5. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Chen, H., C. Sui, Yuheng Tseng, B. Huang, 2015: An analysis of the linkage of Pacific subtropical cells with the recharge--discharge processes in ENSO evolution. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Chikamoto, Y., A. Timmermann, Samantha Stevenson, P. DiNezio, S. Langford, 2015: Decadal predictability of soil water, vegetation, and wildfire frequency over North America. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

Clark, Martyn P., Y. Fan, David M. Lawrence, J. Adam, D. Bolster, David Gochis, R. Hooper, M. Kumar, L. Leung, D. Mackay, R. Maxwell, C. Shen, Sean Swenson, X. Zeng, 2015: Improving the representation of hydrologic processes in Earth System Models. Water Resources Research, OpenSky.

Cleveland, C., P. Taylor, K. Chadwick, Kyla Dahlin, C. Doughty, Y. Malhi, W. Smith, B. Sullivan, William Wieder, A. Townsend, 2015: A comparison of plot-based satellite and Earth system model estimates of tropical forest net primary production. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, OpenSky.

Craig, Anthony, S. Mickelson, E. Hunke, David A. Bailey, 2015: Improved parallel performance of the CICE model in CESM1. International Journal of High Performance Computing Applications, OpenSky.

D'Arrigo, R., R. Wilson, G. Wiles, K. Anchukaitis, O. Solomina, N. Davi, Clara Deser, E. Dolgova, 2015: Tree-ring reconstructed temperature index for coastal northern Japan: Implications for western North Pacific variability. International Journal of Climatology, OpenSky.

Dahlin, Kyla, Rosemary A. Fisher, Peter J. Lawrence, 2015: Environmental drivers of drought deciduous phenology in the Community Land Model. Biogeosciences, OpenSky.

Deser, Clara, Robert A. Tomas, Lantao Sun, 2015: The role of ocean-atmosphere coupling in the zonal-mean atmospheric response to Arctic Sea ice loss. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Ding, R., J. Li, Yuheng Tseng, 2015: The impact of South Pacific extratropical forcing on ENSO and comparisons with the North Pacific. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

Ding, R., J. Li, Yuheng Tseng, C. Ruan, 2015: Influence of the North Pacific Victoria mode on the Pacific ITCZ summer precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Ding, R., J. Li, Yuheng Tseng, C. Sun, Y. Guo, 2015: The Victoria mode in the North Pacific linking extratropical sea level pressure variations to ENSO. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Dolan, A., S. Hunter, D. Hill, A. Haywood, S. Koenig, Bette Otto-Bliesner, A. Abe-Ouchi, F. Bragg, W. Chan, M. Chandler, C. Contoux, A. Jost, Y. Kamae, G. Lohmann, D. Lunt, G. Ramstein, Nan Rosenbloom, L. Sohl, C. Stepanek, H. Ueda, Q. Yan, Z. Zhang, 2015: Using results from the PlioMIP ensemble to investigate the Greenland Ice Sheet during the mid-Pliocene Warm Period. Climate of the Past, OpenSky.

Downes, S., R. Farneti, P. Uotila, S. Griffies, S. Marsland, David A. Bailey, E. Behrens, M. Bentsen, D. Bi, A. Biastoch, C. Böning, A. Bozec, V. Canuto, E. Chassignet, Gokhan Danabasoglu, S. Danilov, N. Diansky, H. Drange, P. Fogli, A. Gusev, A. Howard, M. Ilicak, T. Jung, M. Kelley, William G. Large, A. Leboissetier, Matthew Long, J. Lu, S. Masina, A. Mishra, A. Navarra, A. Nurser, L. Patara, B. Samuels, D. Sidorenko, P. Spence, H. Tsujino, Q. Wang, Stephen Yeager, 2015: An assessment of Southern Ocean water masses and sea ice during 1988-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations. Ocean Modelling, OpenSky.

English, J., Andrew Gettelman, G. Henderson, 2015: Arctic radiative fluxes: Present-day biases and future projections in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Farneti, R., S. Downes, S. Griffies, S. Marsland, E. Behrens, M. Bentsen, D. Bi, A. Biastoch, C. Böning, A. Bozec, V. Canuto, E. Chassignet, Gokhan Danabasoglu, S. Danilov, N. Diansky, H. Drange, P. Fogli, A. Gusev, R. Hallberg, A. Howard, M. Ilicak, T. Jung, M. Kelley, William G. Large, A. Leboissetier, Matthew Long, J. Lu, S. Masina, A. Mishra, A. Navarra, A. Nurser, L. Patara, B. Samuels, D. Sidorenko, H. Tsujino, P. Uotila, Q. Wang, Stephen Yeager, 2015: An assessment of Antarctic Circumpolar Current and Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulation during 1958-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations. Ocean Modelling, OpenSky.

Fasullo, John T., Benjamin Sanderson, Kevin E. Trenberth, 2015: Recent progress in constraining climate sensitivity with model ensembles. Current Climate Change Reports, OpenSky.

Fine, Elizabeth, Frank O. Bryan, William G. Large, David A. Bailey, 2015: An initial estimate of the global distribution of diurnal variation in sea surface salinity. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, OpenSky.

Fisher, Rosemary A., Stefan P. Muszala, Mariana Vertenstein, Peter J. Lawrence, C. Xu, N. McDowell, R. Knox, C. Koven, J. Holm, B. Rogers, A. Spessa, David M. Lawrence, Gordon B. Bonan, 2015: Taking off the training wheels: The properties of a dynamic vegetation model without climate envelopes, CLM4.5(ED). Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Fitch, Anna C., 2015: Climate impacts of large-scale wind farms as parameterized in a global climate model. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Frank, D., B. Poulter, M. Saurer, J. Esper, C. Huntingford, G. Helle, K. Treydte, N. Zimmermann, G. Schleser, A. Ahlström, P. Ciais, P. Friedlingstein, Samuel Levis, M. Lomas, S. Sitch, N. Viovy, L. Andreu-Hayles, Z. Bednarz, F. Berninger, T. Boettger, C. D'Alessandro, V. Daux, M. Filot, M. Grabner, E. Gutierrez, M. Haupt, E. Hilasvuori, H. Jungner, M. Kalela-Brundin, M. Krapiec, M. Leuenberger, N. Loader, H. Marah, V. Masson-Delmotte, A. Pazdur, S. Pawelczyk, M. Pierre, O. Planells, R. Pukiene, C. Reynolds-Henne, K. Rinne, A. Saracino, E. Sonninen, M. Stievenard, V. Switsur, M. Szczepanek, E. Szychowska-Krapiec, L. Todaro, J. Waterhouse, M. Weigl, 2015: Water-use efficiency and transpiration across European forests during the Anthropocene. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Gettelman, Andrew, A. Schmidt, J. Kristjansson, 2015: Icelandic volcanic emissions and climate. Nature Geoscience, OpenSky.

Gettelman, Andrew, 2015: Putting the clouds back in aerosol-cloud interactions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, OpenSky.

Gettelman, Andrew, T. Wang, 2015: Structural diagnostics of the tropopause inversion layer and its evolution. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Gettelman, Andrew, Hugh Morrison, Sean Santos, Peter A. Bogenschutz, P. Caldwell, 2015: Advanced two-moment bulk microphysics for global models. Part II: Global model solutions and aerosol-cloud interactions. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Gettelman, Andrew, Hugh Morrison, 2015: Advanced two-moment bulk microphysics for global models. Part I: Off-line tests and comparison with other schemes. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Gettelman, Andrew, D. Shindell, Jean-François Lamarque, 2015: Impact of aerosol radiative effects on 2000-2010 surface temperatures. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

Grise, K., L. Polvani, John T. Fasullo, 2015: Reexamining the relationship between climate sensitivity and the Southern Hemisphere radiation budget in CMIP models. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Grodsky, S., B. Johnson, J. Carton, Frank O. Bryan, 2015: Interannual Caribbean salinity in satellite data and model simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, OpenSky.

Guo, Z., M. Wang, Y. Qian, V. Larson, S. Ghan, M. Ovchinnikov, Peter A. Bogenschutz, Andrew Gettelman, T. Zhou, 2015: Parametric behaviors of CLUBB in simulations of low clouds in the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Heavens, N., N. Mahowald, G. Soreghan, M. Soreghan, Christine A. Shields, 2015: A model-based evaluation of tropical climate in Pangaea during the late Palaeozoic icehouse. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, OpenSky.

Hegerl, G., E. Black, R. Allan, W. Ingram, D. Polson, Kevin E. Trenberth, R. Chadwic, P. Arkin, B. Sarojini, A. Becker, Aiguo Dai, P. Durack, D. Easterling, H. Fowler, E. Kendon, G. Huffman, C. Liu, R. Marsh, M. New, T. Osborn, N. Skliris, P. Stott, P. Vidale, S. Wijffels, L. Wilcox, K. Willett, X. ZHANG, 2015: Challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Herger, Nadja, Benjamin Sanderson, R. Knutti, 2015: Improved pattern scaling approaches for the use in climate impact studies. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Holland, Marika M., Laura Landrum, 2015: Factors affecting projected Arctic surface shortwave heating and albedo change in coupled climate models. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Series A, Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences, OpenSky.

Hope, P., E. Lim, G. Wang, H. HENDON, Julie Arblaster, 2015: Contributors to the record high temperatures across Australia in late spring 2014. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Hu, Aixue, Gerald A. Meehl, W. Han, Bette Otto-Bliesner, A. Abe-Ouchi, Nan Rosenbloom, 2015: Effects of the Bering Strait closure on AMOC and global climate under different background climates. Progress in Oceanography, OpenSky.

Hurrell, James W., Clara Deser, 2015: Northern Hemisphere climate variability during winter: Looking back on the work of Felix Exner. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, OpenSky.

Ito, T., A. Bracco, C. Deutsch, H. Frenzel, Matthew Long, Y. Takano, 2015: Sustained growth of the Southern Ocean carbon storage in a warming climate. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Jahn, Alexandra, Keith Lindsay, X. Giraud, N. Gruber, Bette Otto-Bliesner, Z. Liu, Esther C. Brady, 2015: Carbon isotopes in the ocean model of the Community Earth System Model (CESM1). Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Jiang, J., H. Su, C. Zhai, T. Shen, T. Wu, J. Zhang, J. Cole, K. von Salzen, L. Donner, C. Seman, A. Del Genio, L. Nazarenko, J. Dufresne, M. Watanabe, C. Morcrette, T. Koshiro, H. Kawai, Andrew Gettelman, L. Millán, W. Read, N. Livesey, Y. Kasai, M. Shiotani, 2015: Evaluating the diurnal cycle of upper-tropospheric ice clouds in climate models using SMILES observations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

Jiang, X., D. Waliser, P. Xavier, J. Petch, N. Klingaman, S. Woolnaugh, B. Guan, G. Bellon, T. Crueger, C. DeMott, Cecile E. Hannay, H. Lin, W. Hu, D. Kim, C. Lappen, M. Lu, H. Ma, T. Miyakawa, J. Ridout, S. Schubert, J. Scinocca, K. Seo, E. Shindo, X. Song, C. Stan, W. Tseng, W. Wang, T. Wu, X. WU, K. Wyser, G. Zhang, H. Zhu, 2015: Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Exploring key model physics in climate simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Johansson, D., Brian C. O'Neill, Claudia Tebaldi, O. Häggström, 2015: Equilibrium climate sensitivity in light of observations over the warming hiatus. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Jones, Bryan, Brian C. O'Neill, Larry McDaniel, Seth A. McGinnis, Linda O. Mearns, Claudia Tebaldi, 2015: Future population exposure to US heat extremes. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Karspeck, Alicia, Stephen Yeager, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Haiyan Teng, 2015: An evaluation of experimental decadal predictions using CCSM4. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

Kay, E., Clara Deser, Adam Phillips, Andrew W. Mai, Cecile E. Hannay, Warren G. Strand, Julie Arblaster, Susan C. Bates, Gokhan Danabasoglu, James Edwards, Marika M. Holland, P. Kushner, Jean-François Lamarque, David M. Lawrence, Keith Lindsay, Adrianne Middleton, Ernesto Muñoz-Acevedo, Richard Neale, Keith W. Oleson, L. Polvani, Mariana Vertenstein, 2015: The Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble project: A community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate variability. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Keller, K., F. Joos, Flavio Lehner, C. Raible, 2015: Detecting changes in marine responses to ENSO from 850 to 2100 C.E.: Insights from the ocean carbon cycle. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Khouider, B., Mitchell W. Moncrieff, 2015: Organized convection parameterization for the ITCZ. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

Kleppin, H., M. Jochum, Bette Otto-Bliesner, Christine A. Shields, Stephen Yeager, 2015: Stochastic atmospheric forcing as a cause of Greenland climate transitions. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Kleypas, Joanie, Frederic Castruccio, E. Curchitser, E. Mcleod, 2015: The impact of ENSO on coral heat stress in the western equatorial Pacific. Global Change Biology, OpenSky.

Kleypas, Joanie, 2015: Oceans: Invisible barriers to dispersal. Science, OpenSky.

Klingaman, N., S. Woolnaugh, X. Jiang, D. Waliser, P. Xavier, J. Petch, M. Caian, Cecile E. Hannay, D. Kim, H. Ma, W. Merryfield, T. Miyakawa, M. Pritchard, J. Ridout, R. Roehrig, E. Shindo, F. Vitart, H. Wang, N. Cavanaugh, B. Mapes, A. Shelly, G. Zhang, 2015: Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian oscillation: Linking hindcast fidelity to simulated diabatic heating and moistening. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Kopp, R., B. Horton, A. Kemp, Claudia Tebaldi, 2015: Past and future sea-level rise along the coast of North Carolina, USA. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Koven, C., David M. Lawrence, W. Riley, 2015: Permafrost carbon-climate feedback is sensitive to deep soil carbon decomposability but not deep soil nitrogen dynamics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, OpenSky.

Koven, C., E. Schuur, C. Schädel, T. Bohn, E. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, P. Ciais, G. Grosse, J. Harden, J. Hayes, G. Hugelius, E. Jafarov, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, David M. Lawrence, A. MacDougall, S. Marchenko, A. McGuire, S. Natali, D. Nicolsky, D. Olefeldt, S. Peng, V. Romanovsky, K. Schaefer, J. Strauss, C. Treat, M. Turetsky, 2015: A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon–climate feedback. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Series A, Mathematical, Physical & Engineering Sciences, OpenSky.

Kubar, T., G. Stephens, M. Lebsock, V. Larson, Peter A. Bogenschutz, 2015: Regional assessments of low clouds against large-scale stability in CAM5 and CAM-CLUBB using MODIS and ERA-interim reanalysis data. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Kumar, S., R. Allan, F. Zwiers, David M. Lawrence, P. Dirmeyer, 2015: Revisiting trends in wetness and dryness in the presence of internal climate variability and water limitations over land. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Lane, T., Mitchell W. Moncrieff, 2015: Long-lived Mesoscale systems in a low-convective inhibition environment. Part I: Upshear propagation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

Large, William G., Julie Caron, 2015: Diurnal cycling of sea surface temperature, salinity, and current in the CESM coupled climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, OpenSky.

Lauritzen, Peter H., Julio Bacmeister, Patrick Callaghan, M. Taylor, 2015: NCAR_Topo (v1.0): NCAR global model topography generation software for unstructured grids. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Lauritzen, Peter H., Andrew J. Conley, Jean-François Lamarque, Francis M. Vitt, M. Taylor, 2015: The terminator "toy" chemistry test: A simple tool to assess errors in transport schemes. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Lehner, Flavio, T. Stocker, 2015: From local perception to global perspective. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Lehner, Flavio, F. Joos, C. Raible, J. Mignot, A. Born, K. Keller, T. Stocker, 2015: Climate and carbon cycle dynamics in a CESM simulation from 850 to 2100 CE. Earth System Dynamics, OpenSky.

Light, B., S. Dickinson, D. Perovich, Marika M. Holland, 2015: Evolution of summer Arctic sea ice albedo in CCSM4 simulations: Episodic summer snowfall and frozen summers. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, OpenSky.

Lin, L., Andrew Gettelman, S. Feng, Q. Fu, 2015: Simulated climatology and evolution of aridity in the 21st century. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Lindstrom, E., Frank O. Bryan, R. Schmitt, 2015: SPURS: Salinity processes in the upper-ocean regional study-- The North Atlantic experiment. Oceanography, OpenSky.

Liu, W., Aixue Hu, 2015: The role of the PMOC in modulating the deglacial shift of the ITCZ. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

Lombardozzi, Danica, Gordon B. Bonan, N. Smith, J. Dukes, Rosemary A. Fisher, 2015: Temperature acclimation of photosynthesis and respiration: A key uncertainty in the carbon cycle-climate feedback. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Lombardozzi, Danica, Samuel Levis, Gordon B. Bonan, P. Hess, J. Sparks, 2015: The influence of chronic ozone exposure on global carbon and water cycles. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Long, Matthew, Keith Lindsay, Marika M. Holland, 2015: Modeling photosynthesis in sea ice-covered waters. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Lovenduski, N., Matthew Long, Keith Lindsay, 2015: Natural variability in the surface ocean carbonate ion concentration. Biogeosciences, OpenSky.

Lu, N., J. Qin, Y. Gao, K. Yang, Kevin E. Trenberth, Maria Gehne, Y. Zhu, 2015: Trends and variability in atmospheric precipitable water over the Tibetan Plateau for 2000–2010. International Journal of Climatology, OpenSky.

Lu, N., Kevin E. Trenberth, J. Qin, K. Yang, L. Yao, 2015: Detecting long-term trends in precipitable water over the Tibetan Plateau by synthesis of station and MODIS observations. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Löfverström, Marcus, J. Liakka, J. Kleman, 2015: The North American Cordillera--An impediment to growing the continent-wide Laurentide ice sheet. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Matus, A., T. L'Ecuyer, J. Kay, Cecile E. Hannay, Jean-François Lamarque, 2015: The role of clouds in modulating global aerosol direct radiative effects in spaceborne active observations and the Community Earth System Model. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Mayewski, P., C. Bracegirdle, I. Goodwin, David P. Schneider, N. Bertler, S. Birkel, A. Carleton, M. England, J. Kang, A. Khan, J. Russell, J. Turner, I. Velicogna, 2015: Potential for Southern Hemisphere climate surprises. Journal of Quaternary Science, OpenSky.

Medeiros, Brian, B. Stevens, S. Bony, 2015: Using aquaplanets to understand the robust responses of comprehensive climate models to forcing. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

Meehl, Gerald A., Julie Arblaster, C. Chung, 2015: Disappearance of the southeast U.S. "warming hole" with the late 1990s transition of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Meehl, Gerald A., Haiyan Teng, N. Maher, M. England, 2015: Effects of the Mount Pinatubo eruption on decadal climate prediction skill of Pacific sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Meehl, Gerald A., 2015: Decadal climate variability and the early-2000s hiatus. Newsletter, U.S. CLIVAR Variations, OpenSky.

Molod, A., L. Takacs, M. Suarez, Julio Bacmeister, 2015: Development of the GEOS-5 atmospheric general circulation model: Evolution from MERRA to MERRA2. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Moncrieff, Mitchell W., T. Lane, 2015: Long-lived mesoscale systems in a low-convective inhibition environment. Part II: Downshear propagation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

Nawrotzki, Raphael, Leiwen Jiang, 2015: Indirectly estimating international net migration flows by age and gender. Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, OpenSky.

Nuijens, L., Brian Medeiros, I. Sandu, M. Ahlgrimm, 2015: The behavior of trade-wind cloudiness in observations and models: The major cloud components and their variability. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Nuijens, L., Brian Medeiros, I. Sandu, M. Ahlgrimm, 2015: Observed and modeled patterns of covariability between low-level cloudiness and the structure of the trade-wind layer. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

O'Neill, Brian C., Leiwen Jiang, P. Gerland, 2015: Plausible reductions in future population growth and implications for the environment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, OpenSky.

Oh, J., X. Jiang, D. Waliser, Mitchell W. Moncrieff, R. Johnson, P. Ciesielski, 2015: A momentum budget analysis of westerly wind events associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation during DYNAMO. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

Oh, J., X. Jiang, D. Waliser, Mitchell W. Moncrieff, R. Johnson, 2015: Convective momentum transport associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation based on a reanalysis dataset. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Oleson, Keith W., Andrew J. Monaghan, Olga Wilhelmi, Michael J. Barlage, N. Brunsell, J. Feddema, L. Hu, Daniel Steinhoff, 2015: Interactions between urbanization, heat stress, and climate change. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Ortega, P., Flavio Lehner, D. Swingedouw, V. Masson-Delmotte, C. Raible, M. Casado, P. Yiou, 2015: A model-tested North Atlantic Oscillation reconstruction for the past millennium. Nature, OpenSky.

Pausata, F., Marcus Löfverström, 2015: On the enigmatic similarity in Greenland δ¹⁸O between the Oldest and Younger Dryas. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Pendergrass, Angeline, Flavio Lehner, Benjamin Sanderson, Yangyang Xu, 2015: Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Prowse, T., A. Bring, J. Mård, E. Carmack, Marika M. Holland, A. Instanes, T. Vihma, F. Wrona, 2015: Arctic Freshwater Synthesis: Summary of key emerging issues. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences, OpenSky.

Qian, Y., H. Yan, Z. Hou, G. Johannesson, S. Klein, D. Lucas, Richard Neale, P. Rasch, L. Swile, J. Tannahill, H. Wang, M. Wang, C. Zhao, 2015: Parametric sensitivity analysis of precipitation at global and local scales in the Community Atmosphere Model CAM5. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Randerson, J., Keith Lindsay, Ernesto Muñoz-Acevedo, W. Fu, J. Moore, F. Hoffman, N. Mahowald, S. Doney, 2015: Multicentury changes in ocean and land contributions to the climate-carbon feedback. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, OpenSky.

Rawlins, M., A. McGuire, J. Kimbal, P. Dass, David M. Lawrence, E. Burke, X. Chen, C. Delire, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D. Lettenmaier, P. Miller, J. Moore, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, 2015: Assessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO₂ exchange across Northern Eurasia. Biogeosciences, OpenSky.

Reed, Kevin, Julio Bacmeister, Nan Rosenbloom, M. Wehner, Susan C. Bates, Peter H. Lauritzen, John E. Truesdale, Cecile E. Hannay, 2015: Impact of the dynamical core on the direct simulation of tropical cyclones in a high-resolution global model. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Reed, Kevin, Brian Medeiros, Julio Bacmeister, Peter H. Lauritzen, 2015: Global radiative-convective equilibrium in the Community Atmosphere Model, version 5. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

Richey, A., B. Thomas, M. Lo, J. Famiglietti, Sean Swenson, M. Rodell, 2015: Uncertainty in global groundwater storage estimates in a Total Groundwater Stress framework. Water Resources Research, OpenSky.

Richey, A., B. Thomas, M. Lo, J. Reager, J. Famiglietti, K. Voss, Sean Swenson, M. Rodell, 2015: Quantifying renewable groundwater stress with GRACE. Water Resources Research, OpenSky.

Richter, Jadwiga H., Clara Deser, L. Sun, 2015: Effects of stratospheric variability on El Niño teleconnections. Environmental Research Letters, OpenSky.

Sakaguchi, K., L. Leung, C. Zhao, Q. Yang, J. Lu, S. Hagos, S. Rauscher, L. Dong, T. Ringler, Peter H. Lauritzen, 2015: Exploring a multiresolution approach using AMIP simulations. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Sanderson, Benjamin, R. Knutti, P. Caldwell, 2015: A representative democracy to reduce interdependency in a multimodel ensemble. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Sanderson, Benjamin, R. Knutti, P. Caldwell, 2015: Addressing interdependency in a multimodel ensemble by interpolation of model properties. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Schneider, David P., Clara Deser, Tingting Fan, 2015: Comparing the impacts of tropical SST variability and Polar stratospheric ozone loss on the Southern Ocean westerly winds. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Schuur, E., A. McGuire, C. Schädel, G. Grosse, J. Harden, D. Hayes, G. Hugelius, C. Koven, P. Kuhry, David M. Lawrence, S. Natali, D. Olefeldt, V. Romanovsky, K. Schaefer, M. Turetsky, C. Treat, E. Vonk, 2015: Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback. Nature, OpenSky.

Screen, J., Clara Deser, Lantao Sun, 2015: Reduced risk of North American cold extremes due to continued Arctic Sea ice loss. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Screen, J., Clara Deser, L. Sun, 2015: Projected changes in regional climate extremes arising from Arctic sea ice loss. Environmental Research Letters, OpenSky.

Shakun, J., P. Clark, F. He, N. Lifton, Z. Liu, Bette Otto-Bliesner, 2015: Regional and global forcing of glacier retreat during the last deglaciation. Nature Communications, OpenSky.

Shanahan, T., N. McKay, K. Hughen, J. Overpeck, Bette Otto-Bliesner, C. Heil, J. King, C. Scholz, J. Peck, 2015: The time-transgressive termination of the African Humid Period. Nature Geoscience, OpenSky.

Sitch, S., P. Friedlingstein, N. Gruber, S. Jones, G. Murray-Tortarolo, A. Ahlström, S. Doney, H. Graven, C. Heinze, C. Huntingford, Samuel Levis, P. Levy, M. Lomas, B. Poulter, N. Viovy, S. Zaehle, N. Zeng, A. Arneth, Gordon B. Bonan, L. Bopp, J. Canadell, F. Chevallier, P. Ciais, R. Ellis, M. Gloor, P. Peylin, S. Piao, C. Le Quéré, B. Smith, Z. Zhu, R. Myneni, 2015: Recent trends and drivers of regional sources and sinks of carbon dioxide. Biogeosciences, OpenSky.

Small, R. Justin, E. Curchitser, K. Hedstrom, Brian G. Kauffman, William G. Large, 2015: The Benguela upwelling system: Quantifying the sensitivity to resolution and coastal wind representation in a global climate model. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Stevenson, Samantha, B. Powell, M. Merrifield, K. Cobb, J. Nusbaumer, D. Noone, 2015: Characterizing seawater oxygen isotopic variability in a regional ocean modeling framework: Implications for coral proxy records. Paleoceanography, OpenSky.

Stevenson, Samantha, A. Timmermann, Y. Chikamoto, S. Langford, P. DiNezio, 2015: Stochastically generated North American megadroughts. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Sun, L., Clara Deser, Robert A. Tomas, 2015: Mechanisms of stratospheric and tropospheric circulation response to projected Arctic sea ice loss. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Swart, N., J. Fyfe, E. Hawkins, J. Kay, Alexandra Jahn, 2015: Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Swenson, Sean, David M. Lawrence, 2015: A GRACE-based assessment of interannual groundwater dynamics in the Community Land Model. Water Resources Research, OpenSky.

Takatama, K., S. Minobe, M. Inatsu, R. Justin Small, 2015: Diagnostics for near-surface wind response to the Gulf Stream in a regional atmospheric model. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Tawfik, Ahmed, P. Dirmeyer, J. Santanello, 2015: The heated condensation framework. Part II: Climatological behavior of convective initiation and land–atmosphere coupling over the conterminous United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, OpenSky.

Tawfik, Ahmed, P. Dirmeyer, J. Santanello, 2015: The heated condensation framework. Part I: Description and Southern Great Plains case study. Journal of Hydrometeorology, OpenSky.

Taylor, P., William Wieder, S. Weintraub, S. Cohen, C. Cleveland, A. Townsend, 2015: Organic forms dominate hydrologic nitrogen export from a lowland tropical watershed. Ecology, OpenSky.

Tebaldi, Claudia, Brian C. O'Neill, Jean-François Lamarque, 2015: Sensitivity of regional climate to global temperature and forcing. Environmental Research Letters, OpenSky.

Thayer-Calder, Katherine, Andrew Gettelman, Cheryl A. Craig, Steve Goldhaber, Peter A. Bogenschutz, Chih-Chieh Chen, Hugh Morrison, J. Höft, E. Raut, B. Griffin, J. Weber, V. Larson, M. Wyant, M. Wang, Z. Guo, S. Ghan, 2015: A unified parameterization of clouds and turbulence using CLUBB and subcolumns in the Community Atmosphere Model. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Thayer-Calder, Katherine, D. Randall, 2015: A numerical investigation of boundary layer quasi-equilibrium. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Thompson, D., E. Barnes, Clara Deser, W. Foust, Adam Phillips, 2015: Quantifying the role of internal climate variability in future climate trends. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., John T. Fasullo, T. Shepherd, 2015: Attribution of climate extreme events. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., 2015: Has there been a hiatus?. Science, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., Yongxin Zhang, John T. Fasullo, 2015: Relationships among top-of-atmosphere radiation and atmospheric state variables in observations and CESM. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., Yongxin Zhang, John T. Fasullo, S. Taguchi, 2015: Climate variability and relationships between top-of-atmosphere radiation and temperatures on Earth. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Upchurch, G., Jeffrey Kiehl, Christine A. Shields, J. Scherer, C. Scotese, 2015: Latitudinal temperature gradients and high-latitude temperatures during the latest Cretaceous: Congruence of geologic data and climate models. Geology, OpenSky.

Walsh, K., S. Camargo, G. Vecchi, A. Daloz, J. Elsner, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, Y. Lim, M. ROBERTS, C. Patricola, E. Scoccimarro, A. Sobel, S. Strazzo, G. Villarini, M. Wehner, M. Zhao, J. Kossin, T. LaRow, K. Oouchi, S. Schubert, H. Wang, Julio Bacmeister, P. Chang, F. Chauvin, C. Jablonowski, A. Kumar, H. Murakami, T. Ose, Kevin Reed, R. Saravanan, Y. Yamada, C. Zarzycky, P. Vidale, J. Jonas, N. Henderson, 2015: Hurricanes and climate: The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Wehner, M., Prabhat, Kevin Reed, D. Stone, W. Collins, Julio Bacmeister, 2015: Resolution dependence of future tropical cyclone projections of CAM5.1 in the U.S. CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group idealized configurations. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Wieder, William, C. Cleveland, David M. Lawrence, Gordon B. Bonan, 2015: Effects of model structural uncertainty on carbon cycle projections: Biological nitrogen fixation as a case study. Environmental Research Letters, OpenSky.

Wieder, William, A. Grandy, C. Kallenbach, P. Taylor, Gordon B. Bonan, 2015: Representing life in the Earth system with soil microbial functional traits in the MIMICS model. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Wieder, William, S. Allison, E. Davidson, K. Georgiou, O. Hararuk, Y. He, F. Hopkins, Y. Luo, M. Smith, B. Sulman, K. Todd-Brown, Y. Wang, J. Xia, X. Xu, 2015: Explicitly representing soil microbial processes in Earth system models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, OpenSky.

Wieder, William, C. Cleveland, W. Smith, K. Todd-Brown, 2015: Future productivity and carbon storage limited by terrestrial nutrient availability. Nature Geoscience, OpenSky.

Williamson, David, Jerry G. Olson, Cecile E. Hannay, T. Toniazzo, M. Taylor, V. Yudin, 2015: Energy considerations in the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Winguth, A., Christine A. Shields, C. Winguth, 2015: Transition into a hothouse world at the Permian--Triassic boundary—A model study. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, OpenSky.

Wong, M., William Skamarock, Peter H. Lauritzen, Joseph Klemp, R. Stull, 2015: Testing of a cell-integrated semi-Lagrangian semi-implicit nonhydrostatic atmospheric solver (CSLAM-NH) with idealized orography. Monthly Weather Review, OpenSky.

Wood, R., M. Wyant, C. BRETHERTON, J. Rémillard, P. Kollias, J. Fletcher, J. Stemmler, S. De Szoeke, S. Yuter, M. Miller, D. Mechem, G. Tselioudis, J. Chiu, J. Mann, E. O'Connor, R. Hogan, X. Dong, M. Miller, V. Ghate, A. Jefferson, Q. Min, P. Minnis, R. Palikonda, B. Albrecht, E. Luke, Cecile E. Hannay, Y. Lin, 2015: Clouds, aerosols, and precipitation in the Marine Boundary Layer: An ARM Mobile Facility deployment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Wright, W., B. Gaun, Yuheng Tseng, E. Cook, K. Wei, S. Chang, 2015: Reconstruction of the springtime East Asian Subtropical Jet and Western Pacific pattern from a millennial-length Taiwanese tree-ring chronology. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

Wyant, M., C. BRETHERTON, R. Wood, G. Carmichael, A. Clarke, J. Fast, R. George, W. Gustafson, Cecile E. Hannay, A. Lauer, Y. Lin, J. Morcrette, J. Mulcahy, P. Saide, S. Spak, Q. Yang, 2015: Global and regional modeling of clouds and aerosols in the marine boundary layer during VOCALS: The VOCA intercomparison. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, OpenSky.

Xie, S., Clara Deser, G. Vecchi, M. Collins, T. Delworth, A. Hall, E. Hawkins, N. Johnson, C. Cassou, A. Giannini, M. Watanabe, 2015: Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Yang, H., Lantao Sun, G. Chen, 2015: Separating the mechanisms of transient responses to stratospheric ozone depletion-like cooling in an idealized atmospheric Model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

Yang, W., W. Zhang, D. Kargbo, R. Yang, Y. Chen, Z. Chen, A. Kamara, B. Kargbo, S. Kandula, Alicia Karspeck, C. Liu, J. Shaman, 2015: Transmission network of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, OpenSky.

Yang, Y. J., S. Jan, M. Chang, J. Wang, V. Mensah, T. Kuo, C. Tsai, C. Lee, M. Andres, L. Centurioni, Yuheng Tseng, W. Liang, J. Lai, 2015: Mean structure and fluctuations of the Kuroshio east of Taiwan from in situ and remote observations. Oceanography, OpenSky.

Yeager, Stephen, Alicia Karspeck, Gokhan Danabasoglu, 2015: Predicted slowdown in the rate of Atlantic sea ice loss. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Yeager, Stephen, 2015: Topographic coupling of the Atlantic overturning and gyre circulations. Journal of Physical Oceanography, OpenSky.

ZHANG, X., D. Haidvogel, D. Munroe, E. Powell, J. Klinck, R. Mann, Frederic Castruccio, 2015: Modeling larval connectivity of the Atlantic surfclams within the Middle Atlantic Bight: Model development, larval dispersal and metapopulation connectivity. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, OpenSky.

Zanchettin, D., O. Bothe, Flavio Lehner, P. Ortega, C. Raible, D. Swingedouw, 2015: Reconciling reconstructed and simulated features of the winter Pacific/North American pattern in the early 19th century. Climate of the Past, OpenSky.

van Ruijven, Bastiaan J., Brian C. O'Neill, J. Chateau, 2015: Methods for including income distribution in global CGE models for long-term climate change research. Energy Economics, OpenSky.

Žagar, N., Akira Kasahara, K. Terasaki, Joseph Tribbia, H. Tanaka, 2015: Normal-mode function representation of global 3-D data sets: Open-access software for the atmospheric research community. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Žagar, N., R. Buizza, Joseph Tribbia, 2015: A three-dimensional multivariate modal analysis of atmospheric predictability with application to the ECMWF ensemble. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

There are 166 Journal Articles.

Posters & Presentations

Baker, Allison, Dorit Hammerling, Michael N. Levy, Haiying Xu, John M. Dennis, Brian E. Eaton, James Edwards, Cecile E. Hannay, Sheri Mickelson, Richard Neale, Douglas Nychka, Jay A. Shollenberger, Joseph Tribbia, Mariana Vertenstein, David Williamson, D. Milroy, 2015: An ensemble-based consistency test for the Community Earth System Model. OpenSky.

Goldhaber, Steve, 2015: CAM history and I/O infrastructure changes [presentation]. OpenSky.

Hannay, Cecile E., Julio Bacmeister, Richard Neale, John E. Truesdale, 2015: Bias corrected timeslice runs [poster]. OpenSky.

Hannay, Cecile E., Richard Neale, 2015: CAM5.4 simulations: The good, the bad and the ugly [presentation]. OpenSky.

Mickelson, Sheri, Alice Bertini, 2015: CESM Workflow Refactor Project. OpenSky.

Mickelson, Sheri, Alice Bertini, 2015: Light-weight parallel Python tools within the CESM workflow [presentation]. OpenSky.

Mickelson, Sheri, Alice Bertini, 2015: CESM Workflow Refactor Project [presentation]. OpenSky.

Mickelson, Sheri, Alice Bertini, 2015: CESM and POP workflow [presentation]. OpenSky.

Mickelson, Sheri, Alice Bertini, 2015: CESM workflow plans [presentation]. OpenSky.

Raeder, Kevin D., Alicia Karspeck, Jeffrey L. Anderson, 2015: DART perspectives on infrastructure challenges of high resolution and coupled data assimilation [presentation]. OpenSky.

Yeager, Stephen, 2015: Reconstructing ocean/sea-ice variability over the 1871-2010 period using NOAA 20th century reanalysis [presentation]. OpenSky.

Yeager, Stephen, 2015: Should we expect a rebound of Arctic sea ice extent in coming years? Initialized predictions of AMOC and sea ice extent using CCSM4 [presentation]. OpenSky.

Yeager, Stephen, 2015: Exploration of new POP grids for CESM2 [presentation]. OpenSky.

There are 14 Posters & Presentations.

CGD Publications: Calendar Year 2015

Journal Articles

Posters & Presentations

Other Documents