CGD Publications: Calendar Year 2018

Journal Articles

Adam, O., K. M. Grise, P. Staten, Isla R. Simpson, S. M. Davis, N. A. Davis, D. W. Waugh, T. Birner, A. Ming, 2018: The TropD software package (v1): Standardized methods for calculating tropical-width diagnostics. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Aerenson, T., Claudia Tebaldi, Benjamin Sanderson, Jean-François Lamarque, 2018: Changes in a suite of indicators of extreme temperature and precipitation under 1.5 and 2 degrees warming. Environmental Research Letters, OpenSky.

Shields, Christine A., J. J. Rutz, L. Leung, F. M. Ralph, M. Wehner, B. Kawzenuk, J. M. Lora, E. McClenny, T. Osborne, Ashley E. Payne, P. Ullrich, A. Gershunov, N. Goldenson, B. Guan, Y. Qian, A. M. Ramos, C. Sarangi, S. Sellars, I. Gorodetskaya, K. Kashinath, V. Kurlin, K. Mahoney, G. Muszynski, R. Pierce, A. C. Subramanian, R. Tome, D. Waliser, D. Walton, G. Wick, A. Wilson, D. Lavers, A. Collow, H. Krishnan, G. Magnusdottir, P. Nguyen, 2018: Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): project goals and experimental design. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Alexeeff, Stacey, Douglas Nychka, Stephan R. Sain, Claudia Tebaldi, 2018: Emulating mean patterns and variability of temperature across and within scenarios in anthropogenic climate change experiments. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Anderson, G. B., Keith W. Oleson, B. Jones, R. D. Peng, 2018: Classifying heatwaves: Developing health-based models to predict high-mortality versus moderate United States heatwaves. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Anderson, G. B., Keith W. Oleson, B. Jones, R. D. Peng, 2018: Projected trends in high-mortality heatwaves under different scenarios of climate, population, and adaptation in 82 US communities. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Arnold, S. R., Danica Lombardozzi, Jean-François Lamarque, T. Richardson, Louisa K. Emmons, Simone Tilmes, S. A. Sitch, G. Folberth, M. J. Hollaway, M. Val Martin, 2018: Simulated global climate response to tropospheric ozone-induced changes in plant transpiration. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Asefi, Salvi, K. L. Vandecar, A. Seimon, Peter J. Lawrence, D. Lawrence, 2018: Climate change, population, and poverty: Vulnerability and exposure to heat stress in countries bordering the Great Lakes of Africa. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Aydoğdu, A., Nadia Pinardi, E. Özsoy, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Ö. Gürses, Alicia Karspeck, 2018: Circulation of the Turkish Straits System under interannual atmospheric forcing. Ocean Science, OpenSky.

Aydoğdu, A., Timothy J. Hoar, T. Vukicevic, Jeffrey L. Anderson, N. Pinardi, Alicia Karspeck, Jonathan Hendricks, Nancy S. Collins, F. Macchia, E. Özsoy, 2018: OSSE for a sustainable marine observing network in the Sea of Marmara. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, OpenSky.

Bachman, Scott, J. A. Anstey, L. Zanna, 2018: The relationship between a deformation-based eddy parameterization and the LANS-alpha turbulence model. Ocean Modelling, OpenSky.

Bacmeister, Julio, K. A. Reed, Cecile E. Hannay, Peter J. Lawrence, Susan C. Bates, John E. Truesdale, Nan Rosenbloom, Michael N. Levy, 2018: Projected changes in tropical cyclone activity under future warming scenarios using a high-resolution climate model. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Barham, W., Scott Bachman, I. Grooms, 2018: Some effects of horizontal discretization on linear baroclinic and symmetric instabilities. Ocean Modelling, OpenSky.

Bastos, A., P. Friedlingstein, S. Sitch, C. Chen, A. Mialon, J. Wigneron, V. K. Arora, P. R. Briggs, J. G. Canadell, P. Ciais, F. Chevallier, L. Cheng, C. Delire, V. Haverd, A. K. Jain, F. Joos, E. Kato, S. Lienert, Danica Lombardozzi, J. R. Melton, R. Myneni, J. E. M. S. Nabel, J. Pongratz, B. Poulter, C. Rödenbeck, R. Séférian, H. Tian, C. van Eck, N. Viovy, N. Vuichard, A. P. Walker, A. Wiltshire, J. Yang, S. Zaehle, N. Zeng, D. Zhu, 2018: Impact of the 2015/2016 El Niño on the terrestrial carbon cycle constrained by bottom-up and top-down approaches. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, OpenSky.

Black, B. A., Ryan Neely, Jean-François Lamarque, L. T. Elkins-Tanton, J. T. Kiehl, Christine A. Shields, Michael J. Mills, Charles Bardeen, 2018: Systemic swings in end-Permian climate from Siberian Traps carbon and sulfur outgassing. Nature Geoscience, OpenSky.

Blankinship, J. C., A. A. Berhe, S. E. Crow, J. L. Druhan, K. A. Heckman, M. Keiluweit, C. R. Lawrence, E. Marín-Spiotta, A. F. Plante, C. Rasmussen, C. Schädel, J. P. Schimel, C. A. Sierra, A. Thompson, R. Wagai, William Wieder, 2018: Improving understanding of soil organic matter dynamics by triangulating theories, measurements, and models. Biogeochemistry, OpenSky.

Bogenschutz, Peter A., Andrew Gettelman, Cecile E. Hannay, V. E. Larson, Richard Neale, Cheryl A. Craig, Chih-Chieh Chen, 2018: The path to CAM6: Coupled simulations with CAM5.4 and CAM5.5. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Bonan, Gordon B., Edward G. Patton, I. N. Harman, Keith W. Oleson, J. J. Finnigan, Yaqiong Lu, E. A. Burakowski, 2018: Modeling canopy-induced turbulence in the Earth system: A unified parameterization of turbulent exchange within plant canopies and the roughness sublayer (CLM-ml v0). Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Bongaarts, J., Brian C. O'Neill, 2018: Global warming policy: Is population left out in the cold?. Science, OpenSky.

Brown-Steiner, B., N. E. Selin, R. Prinn, Simone Tilmes, Louisa K. Emmons, Jean-François Lamarque, P. Cameron-Smith, 2018: Evaluating simplified chemical mechanisms within present-day simulations of the Community Earth System Model version 1.2 with CAM4 (CESM1.2 CAM-chem): MOZART-4 vs. Reduced hydrocarbon vs. Super-fast chemistry. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Brunke, M. A., J. J. Cassano, N. Dawson, Alice K. DuVivier, W. J. Gutowski Jr., J. Hamman, W. Maslowski, B. Nijssen, J. E. J. Reeves Eyre, J. C. Renteria, A. Roberts, X. Zeng, 2018: Evaluation of the atmosphere–land–ocean–sea ice interface processes in the Regional Arctic System Model version 1 (RASM1) using local and globally gridded observations. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Buermann, W., M. Forkel, M. O'Sullivan, S. Sitch, P. Friedlingstein, V. Haverd, A. K. Jain, E. Kato, M. Kautz, S. Lienert, Danica Lombardozzi, J. E. M. S. Nabel, H. Tian, A. J. Wiltshire, D. Zhu, W. K. Smith, A. D. Richardson, 2018: Widespread seasonal compensation effects of spring warming on northern plant productivity. Nature, OpenSky.

Burakowski, Elizabeth, Ahmed Tawfik, A. Ouimette, L. Lepine, K. Novick, S. Ollinger, Colin Zarzycki, Gordon B. Bonan, 2018: The role of surface roughness, albedo, and Bowen ratio on ecosystem energy balance in the Eastern United States. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, OpenSky.

Burke, K. D., J. W. Williams, M. A. Chandler, A. M. Haywood, D. J. Lunt, Bette Otto-Bliesner, 2018: Pliocene and Eocene provide best analogs for near-future climates. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, OpenSky.

Burns, Sean, Sean Swenson, William Wieder, David M. Lawrence, Gordon B. Bonan, J. F. Knowles, P. D. Blanken, 2018: A comparison of the Diel cycle of modeled and measured latent heat flux during the warm season in a Colorado subalpine forest. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Butchart, N., J. A. Anstey, K. Hamilton, S. Osprey, C. McLandress, A. C. Bushell, Y. Kawatani, Y. Kim, F. Lott, J. Scinocca, T. N. Stockdale, M. Andrews, O. Bellprat, P. Braesicke, C. Cagnazzo, Chih-Chieh Chen, H. Chun, M. Dobrynin, Rolando R. García, J. Garcia-Serrano, L. J. Gray, L. Holt, T. Kerzenmacher, H. Naoe, H. Pohlmann, Jadwiga H. Richter, A. A. Scaife, V. Schenzinger, F. Serva, S. Versick, S. Watanabe, K. Yoshida, S. Yukimoto, 2018: Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi). Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Byrne, M. P., Angeline Pendergrass, A. D. Rapp, K. R. Wodzicki, 2018: Response of the intertropical convergence zone to climate change: Location, width, and strength. Current Climate Change Reports, OpenSky.

Cao, Y., M. Hamouda, R. Temam, Joseph Tribbia, X. Wang, 2018: The equations of the multi-phase humid atmosphere expressed as a quasi variational inequality. Nonlinearity, OpenSky.

Cheng, L., Kevin E. Trenberth, John T. Fasullo, J. Abraham, T. Boyer, K. Von Schuckmann, J. Zhu, 2018: Taking the pulse of the planet. Eos, OpenSky.

Cheng, W., W. Weijer, Who M. Kim, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Stephen Yeager, Peter R. Gent, D. Zhang, J. C. H. Chiang, J. Zhang, 2018: Can the salt-advection feedback be detected in internal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation?. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Clark, Martyn P., J. Bahr, M. F. P. Bierkens, X. Cai, J. Hall, T. S. Hogue, C. H. Luce, J. D. Lundquist, D. S. Mackay, I. H. J. van Meerveld, H. Rajaram, X. Sanchez-Vila, P. A. Troch, 2018: Appreciation for Water Resources Research reviewers. Water Resources Research, OpenSky.

Collier, N., F. M. Hoffman, David M. Lawrence, G. Keppel-Aleks, C. D. Koven, W. J. Riley, M. Mu, J. T. Randerson, 2018: The International Land Model Benchmarking (ILAMB) system: Design, theory, and implementation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Covey, C., C. Doutriaux, P. J. Gleckler, K. E. Taylor, Kevin E. Trenberth, Yongxin Zhang, 2018: High-frequency intermittency in observed and model-simulated precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Day, J. J., Marika M. Holland, K. I. Hodges, 2018: Seasonal differences in the response of Arctic cyclones to climate change in CESM1. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

Delman, A. S., J. L. McClean, J. Sprintall, L. D. Talley, Frank O. Bryan, 2018: Process-specific contributions to anomalous Java mixed layer cooling during positive IOD events. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, OpenSky.

Deser, Clara, Isla R. Simpson, Adam Phillips, Karen McKinnon, 2018: How well do we know ENSO's climate impacts over North America, and how do we evaluate models accordingly?. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

DiNezio, P. N., J. E. Tierney, Bette Otto-Bliesner, A. Timmermann, T. Bhattacharya, Nan Rosenbloom, Esther C. Brady, 2018: Glacial changes in tropical climate amplified by the Indian Ocean. Science Advances, OpenSky.

Dirmeyer, P. A., L. Chen, J. Wu, C. Shin, B. Huang, B. A. Cash, M. G. Bosilovich, S. Mahanama, R. D. Koster, J. A. Santanello, M. B. Ek, G. Balsamo, E. Dutra, David M. Lawrence, 2018: Verification of land–atmosphere coupling in forecast models, reanalyses, and land surface models using flux site observations. Journal of Hydrometeorology, OpenSky.

Dowsett, H. J., M. M. Robinson, K. M. Foley, T. D. Herbert, Bette Otto-Bliesner, W. Spivey, 2018: The mid-Piacenzian of the North Atlantic Ocean. Stratigraphy, OpenSky.

DuVivier, Alice K., William G. Large, R. Justin Small, 2018: Argo observations of the deep mixing band in the Southern Ocean: A salinity modeling challenge. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, OpenSky.

Elliott, S., S. Burrows, P. Cameron-Smith, F. Hoffman, E. Hunke, N. Jeffery, Y. Liu, M. Maltrud, Z. Menzo, O. Ogunro, L. Van Roekel, S. Wang, M. Brunke, M. Jin, R. Letscher, N. Meskhidze, L. Russell, Isla R. Simpson, D. Stokes, O. Wingenter, 2018: Does marine surface tension have global biogeography? Addition for the OCEANFILMS Package. Atmosphere, OpenSky.

Fasullo, John T., Bette Otto-Bliesner, S. Stevenson, 2018: ENSO's changing influence on temperature, precipitation, and wildfire in a warming climate. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Fasullo, John T., R. S. Nerem, 2018: Altimeter-era emergence of the patterns of forced sea-level rise in climate models and implications for the future. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, OpenSky.

Fasullo, John T., Simone Tilmes, Jadwiga H. Richter, B. Kravitz, D. G. MacMartin, Michael J. Mills, Isla R. Simpson, 2018: Persistent polar ocean warming in a strategically geoengineered climate. Nature Geoscience, OpenSky.

Felfelani, F., Y. Pokhrel, K. Guan, David M. Lawrence, 2018: Utilizing SMAP soil moisture data to constrain irrigation in the Community Land Model. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Fischer, H., K. J. Meissner, A. C. Mix, N. J. Abram, J. Austermann, V. Brovkin, E. Capron, D. Colombaroli, A. Daniau, K. A. Dyez, T. Felis, S. A. Finkelstein, S. L. Jaccard, E. L. McClymont, A. Rovere, J. Sutter, E. W. Wolff, S. Affolter, P. Bakker, J. A. Ballesteros-Cánovas, C. Barbante, T. Caley, A. E. Carlson, O. Churakova, G. Cortese, B. F. Cumming, B. A. S. Davis, A. De Vernal, J. Emile-Geay, S. C. Fritz, P. Gierz, J. Gottschalk, M. D. Holloway, F. Joos, M. Kucera, M. Loutre, D. J. Lunt, K. Marcisz, J. R. Marlon, P. Martinez, V. Masson-Delmotte, C. Nehrbass-Ahles, Bette Otto-Bliesner, C. C. Raible, B. Risebrobakken, M. F. Sánchez Goñi, J. S. Arrigo, M. Sarnthein, J. Sjolte, T. F. Stocker, P. A. Velasquez Alvárez, W. Tinner, P. J. Valdes, H. Vogel, H. Wanner, Q. Yan, Z. Yu, M. Ziegler, L. ZHOU, 2018: Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond. Nature Geoscience, OpenSky.

Fisher, Rosemary A., C. D. Koven, W. R. L. Anderegg, B. O. Christoffersen, M. C. Dietze, C. E. Farrior, J. A. Holm, G. C. Hurtt, R. G. Knox, Peter J. Lawrence, J. W. Lichstein, M. Longo, A. M. Matheny, D. Medvigy, H. C. Muller-Landau, T. L. Powell, S. P. Serbin, H. Sato, Jacquelyn Shuman, B. Smith, A. T. Trugman, T. Viskari, H. Verbeeck, E. Weng, C. Xu, X. Xu, T. Zhang, P. R. Moorcroft, 2018: Vegetation demographics in Earth System Models: A review of progress and priorities. Global Change Biology, OpenSky.

Fix, M. J., D. Cooley, S. R. Sain, Claudia Tebaldi, 2018: A comparison of U.S. precipitation extremes under RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 with an application of pattern scaling. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Forzieri, G., G. Duveiller, G. Georgievski, W. Li, E. Robertson, M. Kautz, Peter J. Lawrence, L. Garcia San Martin, P. Anthoni, P. Ciais, J. Pongratz, S. Sitch, A. Wiltshire, A. Arneth, A. Cescatti, 2018: Evaluating the interplay between biophysical processes and leaf area changes in land surface models. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Foster, A. C., Jacquelyn Shuman, H. H. Shugart, J. Negron, 2018: Modeling the interactive effects of spruce beetle infestation and climate on subalpine vegetation. Ecosphere, OpenSky.

Franks, P. J., Gordon B. Bonan, J. A. Berry, Danica Lombardozzi, N. M. Holbrook, N. Herold, Keith W. Oleson, 2018: Comparing optimal and empirical stomatal conductance models for application in Earth system models. Global Change Biology, OpenSky.

Frassoni, A., D. Castilho, M. Rixen, E. Ramirez, J. G. Z. de Mattos, P. Kubota, A. J. Peixoto Calheiros, K. A. Reed, M. A. F. da Silva Dias, P. L. da Silva Dias, H. F. de Campos Velho, S. R. De Roode, F. Doblas-Reyes, D. Eiras, Michael B. Ek, S. N. Figueroa, R. Forbes, S. R. Freitas, G. A. Grell, D. L. Herdies, Peter H. Lauritzen, L. A. T. Machado, A. O. Manzi, G. Martins, G. S. Oliveira, N. E. Rosário, D. C. Sales, N. WEDI, B. Yamada, 2018: Building the next generation of climate modelers: Scale-aware physics parameterization and the "grey zone" challenge. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Freeman, N. M., N. S. Lovenduski, D. R. Munro, K. M. Krumhardt, Keith Lindsay, Matthew Long, M. Maclennan, 2018: The variable and changing Southern Ocean Silicate Front: Insights from the CESM Large Ensemble. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, OpenSky.

Fu, W., F. Primeau, J. K. Moore, Keith Lindsay, J. T. Randerson, 2018: Reversal of increasing tropical ocean hypoxia trends with sustained climate warming. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, OpenSky.

Fyke, J., O. Sergienko, Marcus Löfverström, S. Price, J. T. M. Lenaerts, 2018: An overview of interactions and feedbacks between ice sheets and the Earth system. Reviews of Geophysics, OpenSky.

Gent, Peter R., 2018: A commentary on the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation stability in climate models. Ocean Modelling, OpenSky.

Genthon, C., R. Forbes, E. Vignon, Andrew Gettelman, J. Madeleine, 2018: Comment on "Surface air relative humidities spuriously exceeding 100% in CMIP5 model output and their impact on future rojections" by K. Ruosteenoja et al. (2017). Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Gettelman, Andrew, Patrick Callaghan, V. E. Larson, Colin Zarzycki, Julio Bacmeister, Peter H. Lauritzen, Peter A. Bogenschutz, Richard Neale, 2018: Regional climate simulations with the Community Earth System Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Gettelman, Andrew, D. N. Bresch, Chih-Chieh Chen, John E. Truesdale, Julio Bacmeister, 2018: Projections of future tropical cyclone damage with a high-resolution global climate model. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Goelzer, H., S. Nowicki, T. Edwards, M. Beckley, A. Abe-Ouchi, A. Aschwanden, R. Calov, O. Gagliardini, F. Gillet-Chaulet, N. R. Golledge, J. Gregory, R. Greve, A. Humbert, P. Huybrechts, J. H. Kennedy, E. Larour, William Lipscomb, S. Le clec'h, V. Lee, M. Morlighem, F. Pattyn, A. J. Payne, C. Rodehacke, M. Rückamp, F. Saito, N. Schlegel, H. Seroussi, A. Shepherd, S. Sun, R. van de Wal, F. A. Ziemen, 2018: Design and results of the ice sheet model initialisation experiments initMIP-Greenland: An ISMIP6 intercomparison. The Cryosphere, OpenSky.

Gross, M., H. Wan, P. J. Rasch, P. M. Caldwell, David Williamson, D. KLOCKE, C. Jablonowski, D. R. Thatcher, N. Wood, M. Cullen, B. Beare, M. Willett, F. Lemarié, E. Blayo, S. Malardel, P. Termonia, A. Gassmann, Peter H. Lauritzen, H. Johansen, Colin Zarzycki, K. Sakaguchi, R. Leung, 2018: Physics–dynamics coupling in weather, climate, and Earth system models: Challenges and recent progress. Monthly Weather Review, OpenSky.

Hall, Samuel R., Kirk Ullmann, M. J. Prather, C. M. Flynn, L. T. Murray, A. M. Fiore, G. Correa, S. A. Strode, S. D. Steenrod, Jean-François Lamarque, J. Guth, B. Josse, J. Flemming, V. Huijnen, N. L. Abraham, A. T. Archibald, 2018: Cloud impacts on photochemistry: building a climatology of photolysis rates from the Atmospheric Tomography mission. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, OpenSky.

Harrison, Cheryl S., Matthew Long, N. S. Lovenduski, J. K. Moore, 2018: Mesoscale effects on carbon export: A global perspective. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, OpenSky.

Harrop, B. E., P. Ma, P. J. Rasch, Richard Neale, Cecile E. Hannay, 2018: The role of convective gustiness in reducing seasonal precipitation biases in the Tropical West Pacific. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

He, F., D. J. Posselt, N. N. Narisetty, Colin Zarzycki, V. N. Nair, 2018: Application of multivariate sensitivity analysis techniques to AGCM-simulated tropical cyclones. Monthly Weather Review, OpenSky.

Herger, N., G. Abramowitz, Reto Knutti, O. Angélil, K. Lehmann, Benjamin Sanderson, 2018: Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties. Earth System Dynamics, OpenSky.

Herrera, D. A., T. R. Ault, John T. Fasullo, Sloan Coats, C. M. Carrillo, B. I. Cook, A. P. Williams, 2018: Exacerbation of the 2013-2016 pan-Caribbean drought by anthropogenic warming. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Hoffman, M. J., M. Perego, S. F. Price, William Lipscomb, T. Zhang, D. Jacobsen, I. Tezaur, A. G. Salinger, R. Tuminaro, L. Bertagna, 2018: MPAS-Albany Land Ice (MALI): A variable-resolution ice sheet model for Earth system modeling using Voronoi grids. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Holland, Marika M., Laura Landrum, M. N. Raphael, R. Kwok, 2018: The regional, seasonal, and lagged influence of the Amundsen Sea Low on Antarctic sea ice. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Hu, Aixue, Susan C. Bates, 2018: Internal climate variability and projected future regional steric and dynamic sea level rise. Nature Communications, OpenSky.

Hu, Z., Aixue Hu, Y. Hu, 2018: Contributions of interdecadal Pacific oscillation and Atlantic multidecadal oscillation to global ocean heat content distribution. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Jiang, Leiwen, Brian C. O'Neill, 2018: Determinants of urban growth during demographic and mobility transitions: Evidence from India, Mexico, and the US. Population and Development Review, OpenSky.

Jones, B., Claudia Tebaldi, Brian C. O'Neill, Keith W. Oleson, Jing Gao, 2018: Avoiding population exposure to heat-related extremes: Demographic change vs climate change. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Kageyama, M., P. Braconnot, S. P. Harrison, A. M. Haywood, J. H. Jungclaus, Bette Otto-Bliesner, J. Peterschmitt, A. Abe-Ouchi, S. Albani, P. J. Bartlein, C. Brierley, M. Crucifix, A. Dolan, L. Fernandez-Donado, H. Fischer, P. O. Hopcroft, R. F. Ivanovic, F. Lambert, D. J. Lunt, N. M. Mahowald, W. R. Peltier, S. J. Phipps, D. M. Roche, G. A. Schmidt, L. Tarasov, P. J. Valdes, Q. Zhang, T. Zhou, 2018: The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 1: Overview and over-arching analysis plan. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Karspeck, Alicia, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Jeffrey L. Anderson, S. Karol, Nancy S. Collins, Mariana Vertenstein, Kevin D. Raeder, Timothy J. Hoar, Richard Neale, James Edwards, Anthony Craig, 2018: A global coupled ensemble data assimilation system using the Community Earth System Model and the Data Assimilation Research Testbed. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Kay, J. E., T. L'Ecuyer, Angeline Pendergrass, H. Chepfer, R. Guzman, V. Yettella, 2018: Scale-aware and definition-aware evaluation of modeled near-surface precipitation frequency using CloudSat observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Kiehl, J. T., Christine A. Shields, M. A. Snyder, J. C. Zachos, M. Rothstein, 2018: Greenhouse- and orbital-forced climate extremes during the early Eocene. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, OpenSky.

Kim, Who M., Stephen Yeager, Gokhan Danabasoglu, 2018: Key role of internal ocean dynamics in Atlantic multidecadal variability during the last half century. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Kooperman, G. J., M. D. Fowler, F. M. Hoffman, C. D. Koven, Keith Lindsay, M. S. Pritchard, A. L. S. Swann, J. T. Randerson, 2018: Plant physiological responses to rising CO2 modify simulated daily runoff intensity with implications for global-scale flood risk assessment. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Kooperman, G. J., Y. Chen, F. M. Hoffman, C. D. Koven, Keith Lindsay, M. S. Pritchard, A. L. S. Swann, J. T. Randerson, 2018: Forest response to rising CO2 drives zonally asymmetric rainfall change over tropical land. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Krinner, G., C. Derksen, R. Essery, M. Flanner, S. Hagemann, Martyn P. Clark, A. Hall, H. Rott, C. Brutel-Vuilmet, H. Kim, C. B. Ménard, L. Mudryk, C. Thackeray, L. Wang, G. Arduini, G. Balsamo, P. Bartlett, J. Boike, A. Boone, F. Chéruy, J. Colin, M. Cuntz, Y. Dai, B. Decharme, J. Derry, A. Ducharne, E. Dutra, X. Fang, C. Fierz, J. Ghattas, Y. Gusev, V. Haverd, A. Kontu, M. Lafaysse, R. Law, David M. Lawrence, W. Li, T. Marke, D. Marks, M. Ménégoz, O. Nasonova, T. Nitta, M. Niwano, J. Pomeroy, M. S. Raleigh, G. Schaedler, V. Semenov, T. G. Smirnova, T. Stacke, U. Strasser, S. Svenson, D. Turkov, T. Wang, N. Wever, H. Yuan, W. Zhou, D. Zhu, 2018: ESM-SnowMIP: Assessing snow models and quantifying snow-related climate feedbacks. Geoscientific Model Development, OpenSky.

Köhler, J., N. Serra, Frank O. Bryan, B. K. Johnson, D. Stammer, 2018: Mechanisms of mixed-layer salinity seasonal variability in the Indian Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, OpenSky.

Lauritzen, Peter H., Ramachandran Nair, Adam R. Herrington, Patrick Callaghan, Steve Goldhaber, John M. Dennis, Julio Bacmeister, Brian E. Eaton, Colin Zarzycki, M. A. Taylor, P. A. Ullrich, T. Dubos, Andrew Gettelman, Richard Neale, Brian Dobbins, K. A. Reed, Cecile E. Hannay, Brian Medeiros, J. J. Benedict, Joseph Tribbia, 2018: NCAR release of CAM-SE in CESM2.0: A reformulation of the spectral element dynamical core in dry-mass vertical coordinates with comprehensive treatment of condensates and energy. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Lawrence, Peter J., David M. Lawrence, G. C. Hurtt, 2018: Attributing the carbon cycle impacts of CMIP5 historical and tuture land use and land cover change in the Community Earth System Model (CESM1). Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, OpenSky.

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Stephens, Britton, Matthew Long, R. F. Keeling, E. A. Kort, C. Sweeney, Eric C. Apel, E. L. Atlas, Stuart Beaton, J. D. Bent, N. J. Blake, James Bresch, J. Casey, B. C. Daube, M. Diao, E. Diaz, H. Dierssen, V. Donets, B. Gao, M. Gierach, R. Green, J. Haag, Matthew Hayman, Alan J. Hills, M. S. Hoecker-Martínez, Shawn B. Honomichl, Rebecca Hornbrook, Jørgen B. Jensen, R. Li, I. McCubbin, K. McKain, E. J. Morgan, S. Nolte, Jordan G. Powers, B. Rainwater, K. Randolph, John Michael Reeves, S. M. Schauffler, K. Smith, M. Smith, Jeffrey Len Stith, Gregory J. Stossmeister, D. W. Toohey, Andrew S. Watt, 2018: The O2/N2 ratio and CO2 airborne Southern Ocean study. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Stevenson, Samantha, J. T. Overpeck, John T. Fasullo, Sloan Coats, L. Parsons, Bette Otto-Bliesner, T. Ault, G. Loope, J. Cole, 2018: Climate variability, volcanic forcing, and last millennium hydroclimate extremes. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Sulman, B. N., J. A. M. Moore, R. Abramoff, Colin Averill, S. Kivlin, K. Georgiou, B. Sridhar, Melannie Hartman, G. Wang, William Wieder, M. A. Bradford, Y. Luo, M. A. Mayes, E. Morrison, W. J. Riley, A. Salazar, J. P. Schimel, J. Tang, A. T. Classen, 2018: Multiple models and experiments underscore large uncertainty in soil carbon dynamics. Biogeochemistry, OpenSky.

Sun, L., M. Alexander, Clara Deser, 2018: Evolution of the global coupled climate response to Arctic sea ice loss during 1990–2090 and its contribution to climate change. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Tabor, C. R., Bette Otto-Bliesner, Esther C. Brady, J. Nusbaumer, J. Zhu, M. P. Erb, T. E. Wong, Z. Liu, D. Noone, 2018: Interpreting precession-driven δ18O variability in the South Asian monsoon region. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Tanaka, K., Brian C. O'Neill, 2018: The Paris Agreement zero-emissions goal is not always consistent with the 1.5 °C and 2 °C temperature targets. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Tang, T., D. Shindell, B. H. Samset, O. Boucher, P. M. Forster, Ø. Hodnebrog, G. Myhre, J. Sillmann, A. Voulgarakis, T. Andrews, G. Faluvegi, D. Fläschner, T. Iversen, M. Kasoar, V. Kharin, A. Kirkevåg, Jean-François Lamarque, D. Olivié, T. Richardson, C. W. Stjern, T. Takemura, 2018: Dynamical response of Mediterranean precipitation to greenhouse gases and aerosols. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, OpenSky.

Taylor, J. R., Scott Bachman, M. Stamper, P. Hosegood, K. Adams, J. Sallee, R. Torres, 2018: Submesoscale Rossby waves on the Antarctic circumpolar current. Science Advances, OpenSky.

Tebaldi, Claudia, Reto Knutti, 2018: Evaluating the accuracy of climate change pattern emulation for low warming targets. Environmental Research Letters, OpenSky.

Tebaldi, Claudia, D. Lobell, 2018: Estimated impacts of emission reductions on wheat and maize crops. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Tebaldi, Claudia, D. Lobell, 2018: Differences, or lack thereof, in wheat and maize yields under three low-warming scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, OpenSky.

Tebaldi, Claudia, M. F. Wehner, 2018: Benefits of mitigation for future heat extremes under CP4.5 compared to RCP8.5. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Thompson, Diane, Joanie Kleypas, Frederic Castruccio, E. Curchitser, M. Pinsky, B. Jönsson, J. Watson, 2018: Variability in oceanographic barriers to coral larval dispersal: Do currents shape biodiversity?. Progress in Oceanography, OpenSky.

Tilmes, Simone, Jadwiga H. Richter, Ben Kravitz, Doug MacMartin, Michael J. Mills, Isla R. Simpson, Anne A. Glanville, John T. Fasullo, Adam Phillips, Jean-François Lamarque, Joseph Tribbia, James Edwards, Sheri Mickelson, Siddhartha S. Ghosh, 2018: CESM1(WACCM) stratospheric aerosol geoengineering large ensemble project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Tilmes, Simone, Jadwiga H. Richter, Michael J. Mills, B. Kravitz, D. G. MacMartin, Rolando R. García, Douglas E. Kinnison, Jean-François Lamarque, Joseph Tribbia, Francis M. Vitt, 2018: Effects of different stratospheric SO2 injection altitudes on stratospheric chemistry and dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., John T. Fasullo, 2018: Applications of an updated atmospheric energetics formulation. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., 2018: Climate change caused by human activities is happening and it already has major consequences. Journal of Energy & Natural Resources Law, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., L. Cheng, P. Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John T. Fasullo, 2018: Hurricane Harvey links to ocean heat content and climate change adaptation. Earth's Future, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., Yongxin Zhang, 2018: Near-global covariability of hourly precipitation in space and time. Journal of Hydrometeorology, OpenSky.

Trenberth, Kevin E., Yongxin Zhang, 2018: How often does it really rain?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Tsujino, H., S. Urakawa, H. Nakano, R. Justin Small, Who M. Kim, Stephen Yeager, Gokhan Danabasoglu, T. Suzuki, J. L. Bamber, M. Bentsen, C. W. Böning, A. Bozec, E. P. Chassignet, E. Curchitser, F. Boeira Dias, P. J. Durack, S. M. Griffies, Y. Harada, M. Ilicak, S. A. Josey, C. Kobayashi, S. Kobayashi, Y. Komuro, William G. Large, J. Le Sommer, S. J. Marsland, S. Masina, M. Scheinert, H. Tomita, M. Valdivieso, D. Yamazaki, 2018: JRA-55 based surface dataset for driving ocean-sea-ice models (JRA55-do). Ocean Modelling, OpenSky.

Van Roekel, L., A. J. Adcroft, Gokhan Danabasoglu, S. M. Griffies, Brian G. Kauffman, William G. Large, Michael N. Levy, B. G. Reichl, T. Ringler, M. Schmidt, 2018: The KPP boundary layer scheme for the ocean: Revisiting its formulation and benchmarking one-dimensional simulations relative to LES. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Vano, Julie, J. R. Arnold, B. Nijssen, Martyn P. Clark, Andrew Wood, Ethan D. Gutmann, N. Addor, Joseph J. Hamman, Flavio Lehner, 2018: DOs and DON'Ts for using climate change information for water resource planning and management: Guidelines for study design. Climate Services, OpenSky.

Vicca, S., B. D. Stocker, S. Reed, William Wieder, M. Bahn, P. A. Fay, I. A. Janssens, H. Lambers, J. Peñuelas, S. Piao, K. T. Rebel, J. Sardans, B. D. Sigurdsson, K. Van Sundert, Y. Wang, S. Zaehle, P. Ciais, 2018: Using research networks to create the comprehensive datasets needed to assess nutrient availability as a key determinant of terrestrial carbon cycling. Environmental Research Letters, OpenSky.

WU, X., H. Yang, D. W. Waugh, C. Orbe, Simone Tilmes, Jean-François Lamarque, 2018: Spatial and temporal variability of interhemispheric transport times. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, OpenSky.

Wales, P. A., R. J. Salawitch, J. M. Nicely, D. C. Anderson, T. P. Canty, S. Baidar, B. Dix, T. K. Koenig, R. Volkamer, D. Chen, L. G. Huey, D. J. Tanner, C. A. Cuevas, R. P. Fernandez, Douglas E. Kinnison, Jean-François Lamarque, A. Saiz-Lopez, E. L. Atlas, Samuel R. Hall, M. A. Navarro, Laura L. Pan, Sue Schauffler, Meghan Stell, Simone Tilmes, Kirk Ullmann, Andrew Weinheimer, H. Akiyoshi, M. P. Chipperfield, M. Deushi, S. S. Dhomse, W. Feng, P. Graf, R. Hossaini, P. Jöckel, E. Mancini, M. Michou, O. Morgenstern, L. D. Oman, G. Pitari, D. A. Plummer, L. E. Revell, E. Rozanov, D. Saint-Martin, R. Schofield, A. Stenke, K. A. Stone, D. Visioni, Y. Yamashita, G. Zeng, 2018: Stratospheric injection of brominated very short-lived substances: Aircraft observations in the Western Pacific and representation in global models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Wang, B., Jacquelyn Shuman, H. H. Shugart, M. T. Lerdau, 2018: Biodiversity matters in feedbacks between climate change and air quality: A study using an individual-based model. Ecological Applications, OpenSky.

Wang, H., J. L. McClean, L. D. Talley, Stephen Yeager, 2018: Seasonal cycle and annual reversal of the Somali current in an eddy-resolving global ocean model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, OpenSky.

Wang, Kun, Clara Deser, L. Sun, Robert A. Tomas, 2018: Fast response of the tropics to an abrupt loss of Arctic sea ice via ocean dynamics. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Wang, X., Y. Wu, W. Tung, Jadwiga H. Richter, Anne A. Glanville, Simone Tilmes, C. Orbe, Y. Huang, Y. Xia, Douglas E. Kinnison, 2018: The simulation of stratospheric water vapor over the Asian summer monsoon in CESM1(WACCM) Models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Watson, J. R., E. C. Fuller, Frederic Castruccio, J. F. Samhouri, 2018: Fishermen follow fine-scale physical ocean features for finance. Frontiers in Marine Science, OpenSky.

Waugh, D. W., K. M. Grise, W. J. M. Seviour, S. M. Davis, N. Davis, O. Adam, S. Son, I. R. Simpson, P. W. Staten, A. C. Maycock, C. C. Ummenhofer, T. Birner, A. Ming, 2018: Revisiting the relationship among metrics of tropical expansion. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Weatherhead, E. C., B. A. Wielicki, V. Ramaswamy, M. Abbott, T. P. Ackerman, R. Atlas, G. Brasseur, L. Bruhwiler, Antonio J. Busalacchi, J. H. Butler, C. T. M. Clack, R. Cooke, L. Cucurull, S. M. Davis, J. M. English, D. W. Fahey, S. S. Fine, Jeffrey K. Lazo, S. Liang, N. G. Loeb, E. Rignot, B. Soden, D. Stanitski, G. Stephens, B. D. Tapley, A. M. Thompson, Kevin E. Trenberth, D. Wuebbles, 2018: Designing the climate observing system of the future. Earth's Future, OpenSky.

Webster, M., S. Gerland, Marika M. Holland, E. Hunke, R. Kwok, O. Lecomte, R. Massom, D. Perovich, M. Sturm, 2018: Snow in the changing sea-ice systems. Nature Climate Change, OpenSky.

Wehner, M., D. Stone, D. Mitchell, H. Shiogama, E. Fischer, L. S. Graff, V. V. Kharin, L. Lierhammer, Benjamin Sanderson, H. Krishnan, 2018: Changes in extremely hot days under stabilized 1.5 and 2.0 °C global warming scenarios as simulated by the HAPPI multi-model ensemble. Earth System Dynamics, OpenSky.

Westervelt, D. M., Andrew J. Conley, A. M. Fiore, Jean-François Lamarque, D. T. Shindell, M. Previdi, N. R. Mascioli, G. Faluvegi, G. Correa, L. W. Horowitz, 2018: Connecting regional aerosol emissions reductions to local and remote precipitation responses. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, OpenSky.

Wieder, William, Melannie Hartman, B. N. Sulman, Y. Wang, C. D. Koven, Gordon B. Bonan, 2018: Carbon cycle confidence and uncertainty: Exploring variation among soil biogeochemical models. Global Change Biology, OpenSky.

Wigley, Tom M. L., 2018: The Paris warming targets: Emissions requirements and sea level consequences. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Wobus, C., C. Zarakas, P. Malek, Benjamin Sanderson, A. Crimmins, M. Kolian, M. Sarofim, C. P. Weaver, 2018: Reframing future risks of extreme heat in the United States. Earth's Future, OpenSky.

Xie, S., W. Lin, P. J. Rasch, P. Ma, Richard Neale, V. E. Larson, Y. Qian, P. A. Bogenschutz, P. Caldwell, P. Cameron-Smith, J. Golaz, S. Mahajan, B. Singh, Q. Tang, H. Wang, J. Yoon, K. Zhang, Y. Zhang, 2018: Understanding cloud and convective characteristics in version 1 of the E3SM Atmosphere Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Xiu, P., F. Chai, E. N. Curchitser, Frederic Castruccio, 2018: Future changes in coastal upwelling ecosystems with global warming: The case of the California Current System. Scientific Reports, OpenSky.

Xu, Y., Jean-François Lamarque, 2018: Isolating the meteorological impact of 21st century GHG warming on the removal and atmospheric loading of anthropogenic fine particulate matter pollution at global scale. Earth's Future, OpenSky.

Xu, Yangyang, Aixue Hu, 2018: How would the twenty-first-century warming influence Pacific decadal variability and its connection to North American rainfall: assessment based on a revised procedure for the IPO/PDO. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Xu, Yangyang, Jean-François Lamarque, Benjamin Sanderson, 2018: The importance of aerosol scenarios in projections of future heat extremes. Climatic Change, OpenSky.

Yano, J., Mitchell W. Moncrieff, 2018: Convective organization in evolving large-scale forcing represented by a highly truncated numerical archetype. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, OpenSky.

Yeager, Stephen, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Nan Rosenbloom, Warren G. Strand, Susan C. Bates, Gerald A. Meehl, Alicia Karspeck, Keith Lindsay, Matthew Long, Haiyan Teng, N. S. Lovenduski, 2018: Predicting near-term changes in the Earth system: A large ensemble of initialized decadal prediction simulations using the Community Earth System Model. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Yettella, V., J. B. Weiss, J. E. Kay, Angeline Pendergrass, 2018: An ensemble covariance framework for quantifying forced climate variability and its time of emergence. Journal of Climate, OpenSky.

Yu, T., P. Guo, J. Cheng, Aixue Hu, P. Lin, Y. Yu, 2018: Reduced connection between the East Asian Summer Monsoon and Southern Hemisphere Circulation on interannual timescales under intense global warming. Climate Dynamics, OpenSky.

ZHOU, L., R. Murtugudde, Richard Neale, M. Jochum, 2018: Simulation of the Central Indian Ocean Mode in CESM: Implications for the Indian Summer Monsoon System. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, OpenSky.

Zarzycki, Colin, 2018: Projecting changes in societally impactful northeastern U.S. snowstorms. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

Zhang, H., M. Wang, Z. Guo, C. Zhou, T. Zhou, Y. Qian, V. E. Larson, S. Ghan, M. Ovchinnikov, P. A. Bogenschutz, Andrew Gettelman, 2018: Low-cloud feedback in CAM5-CLUBB: Physical mechanisms and parameter sensitivity analysis. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, OpenSky.

Zhang, M., A. Mariotti, Z. Lin, V. Ramasmamy, Jean-François Lamarque, Z. Xie, J. Zhu, 2018: Coordination to understand and reduce global model biases by U.S. and Chinese institutions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, OpenSky.

Zhang, P., Y. Wu, Isla R. Simpson, K. L. Smith, X. ZHANG, B. De, Patrick Callaghan, 2018: A stratospheric pathway linking a colder Siberia to Barents-Kara Sea sea ice loss. Science Advances, OpenSky.

Zhang, R., H. Wang, Q. Fu, Angeline Pendergrass, M. Wang, Y. Yang, P. Ma, P. J. Rasch, 2018: Local radiative feedbacks over the Arctic based on observed short-term climate variations. Geophysical Research Letters, OpenSky.

There are 214 Journal Articles.

Posters & Presentations

Dennis, John M., Rory Kelly, James Edwards, Brian Dobbins, Christopher L. Kerr, Youngsung Kim, Raghu Raj Prasanna Kumar, Sheri Mickelson, Richard D. Loft, Mariana Vertenstein, Sean Santos, 2018: The accumulated impact of code optimizations on scientific throughput of CESM on Cheyenne. OpenSky.

Dennis, John M., Rory Kelly, James Edwards, Brian Dobbins, Christopher L. Kerr, Youngsung Kim, Raghu Raj Prasanna Kumar, Sheri Mickelson, Richard D. Loft, Mariana Vertenstein, Sean Santos, 2018: Code optimization and the accumulated impact on scientific throughput of an HPC center. OpenSky.

Dennis, John M., Rory Kelly, James Edwards, Brian Dobbins, Christopher L. Kerr, Youngsung Kim, Raghu Raj Prasanna Kumar, Sheri Mickelson, Richard D. Loft, Mariana Vertenstein, 2018: The accumulated impact of code optimizations on scientific throughput of CESM on Cheyenne. OpenSky.

Duda, Michael G., David O. Gill, Steve Goldhaber, Mariana Vertenstein, Francis M. Vitt, 2018: Plans for infrastructure development in CESM-CAM. OpenSky.

Gagne, David John, Sue Ellen Haupt, Douglas Nychka, Hannah M. Christensen, Aneesh Subramanian, A. Monahan, 2018: Generation of spatial weather fields with generative adversarial networks. OpenSky.

Gilleland, Eric, Gregor Skok, 2018: Testing the distance-based spatial forecast verification methods on a new more rigorous set of contrived cases. OpenSky.

Pendergrass, Angeline, Reto Knutti, Flavio Lehner, Clara Deser, Benjamin Sanderson, 2018: Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate. OpenSky.

Raeder, Kevin D., Jeffrey L. Anderson, Timothy J. Hoar, Nancy S. Collins, Jonathan Hendricks, Alice Bertini, Mariana Vertenstein, Steve Goldhaber, James Edwards, Nicholas M. Pedatella, R. Montuoro, 2018: Using DART tools for CAM development. OpenSky.

Raeder, Kevin D., Jeffrey L. Anderson, Timothy J. Hoar, Nancy S. Collins, Jonathan Hendricks, Alice Bertini, Mariana Vertenstein, Steve Goldhaber, James Edwards, Nicholas M. Pedatella, Benjamin Gaubert, Raffaele Montuoro, 2018: A Unified DART ensemble data assimilation capability for CAM(-CHEM), WACCM, and WACCM-X. OpenSky.

There are 9 Posters & Presentations.

CGD Publications: Calendar Year 2018

Journal Articles

Posters & Presentations

Other Documents